Author: Admin

The (EUR) is trading practically flat against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, changing hands at 1.1785 at the time of writing, following a nearly 2.5% rally over the previous seven trading days. The common currency returned to pre-war levels on Tuesday as investors have dialed back US Dollar long positions, amid hopes of a peace deal in Iran. US President Donald Trump confirmed those hopes in an interview with the New York Post, in which he suggested that peace talks might resume in Islamabad over the next two days. Iranian authorities did not comment on the matter, but United…

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Ken Griffin, chief executive officer of Citadel Advisors LLC, at the Semafor World Economy Summit during the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank Spring meetings in Washington, DC, US, on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Aaron Schwartz | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesCitadel CEO Ken Griffin said Tuesday that the global economy is headed toward a recession if the Strait of Hormuz stays shut for much longer. “Let’s assume [the strait is] shut down for the next six to 12 months — the world’s going to end up in a recession,” Griffin said on stage at the Semafor World Economy conference…

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Deutsche Bank’s Sebastian Becker assesses Germany’s new fiscal relief package to counter higher energy prices from the conflict in Iran, judging it small relative to 2026 GDP and earlier 2022–23 measures. The temporary energy tax cut and employee bonus are seen as offering negligible support to growth and only marginally reducing inflation, with much of the gross relief offset by windfall and tobacco taxes.Mini-package offers modest macro support”The recently unveiled relief package, worth EUR 7-14 bn (around 0.15-0.30% of 2026F GDP), offers only limited fiscal relief and we expect it to have a negligible impact on GDP growth.””All up, due…

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  Why Markets Fear Uncertainty   Financial Decisions Financial markets are driven by expectations about the future, not present conditions. When those expectations become unclear, volatility rises, risk appetite falls, and investors begin to reposition rapidly. The current escalation in the US–Iran conflict is a clear example of how geopolitical uncertainty can disrupt financial markets on a global scale. In this article, we examine: Why uncertainty drives market volatility How the conflict complicates Federal Reserve policy What could stabilize the outlook Why Markets React So Strongly to Uncertainty Markets can absorb negative developments but they struggle when outcomes are unpredictable.…

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Gold price (XAU/USD) moves little after opening at a gap down, hovering around $4,670 per troy ounce during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The non-yielding metal struggles as rising energy prices fuel inflation risks, reducing expectations for rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and other major central banks.West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price has opened the week with a bullish gap, climbing roughly 8.5%, and is trading around $98.00 per barrel at the time of writing. The latest surge in oil prices is mainly driven by the re-escalation of the conflict between the United States (US) and…

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SAT: US/Iran Talks SUN: Hungary Election MON: OPEC MOMR (Apr), Chinese M2 Money Supply (Mar), US Existing Home Sales (Mar), US Monthly Budget Statement (Mar) TUE: IEA OMR (Apr), IMF World Economic Outlook Press Briefing (Apr), Chinese Balance of Trade (Mar), Japanese Industrial Production Final (Feb), German Wholesale Prices (Mar), Spanish HICP Final (Mar), US NFIB Business Optimism Index (Mar), US ADP Weekly Change, US PPI (Mar), South Korean Export/Import Prices (Mar), South Korean Unemployment Rate (Mar) WED: Indian WPI & Inflation (Mar), French HICP Final (Mar), EZ Industrial Production (Feb), US Export/Import Prices (Mar), Fed Beige Book (Apr), Japanese…

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